Swan Signal Live - A Bitcoin Show

Bitcoin Amsterdam, Fiscal Dominance, Stimulus Talk, and the Massive Square Adoption Milestone

Episode Summary

Brady and John break down a packed week in Bitcoin: strong vibes at Bitcoin Amsterdam, surging U.S. debt costs, policy shifts toward stimulus, and the Czech National Bank’s first Bitcoin purchase. They cover Square enabling Bitcoin payments for 4M merchants, SoFi adding Bitcoin, regulatory clarity, and why fundamentals remain stronger than ever.

Episode Notes

• Brady joins from Bitcoin Amsterdam and reports extremely positive conference sentiment despite Bitcoin’s price consolidating around $95–105K
• Hosts discuss how price often disconnects from fundamentals and why Bitcoin’s thesis remains intact
• Review of historical “conference dumps” showing that IRL Bitcoin community morale stays strong even during drawdowns
• Deep dive on inflation, the disappearance of the U.S. penny, and long-term fiat degradation compared to Bitcoin
• Macro breakdown: surging U.S. interest expense now surpasses defense spending; government shutdown ends; TGA likely to release liquidity
• Discussion of proposed stimulus checks, 50-year mortgages, and portable/assumable mortgages as evidence policymakers won’t tolerate asset price deflation
• Czech National Bank allocates $1M to Bitcoin—first known central bank to do so
• U.S. regulatory update: Senate draft of the Clarity Act includes explicit protections for self-custody and P2P Bitcoin transactions
• SoFi becomes the first national bank to offer Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana purchases directly inside its banking app
• Major adoption milestone: Square enables Bitcoin/Lightning payments at 4 million merchants with optional Bitcoin settlement
• Market note: Michael Burry closes his fund, citing inability to understand today’s market—hosts contrast this with Bitcoin’s clear macro trajectory